1. The Justice Department, and Robert Mueller, have “all but declared” Trump to be guilty of two campaign violations. First, they believe that Trump conspired with Michael Cohen, his former lawyer, to silence Karen McDougal and Stormy Daniels, two women with whom Trump allegedly had affairs.
2. According to Mueller and the Southern District’s sentencing memo, “with respect to both payments,” Cohen “acted in coordination and at the direction of Trump.” Furthermore, according to the prosecutors, Cohen and Trump “sought to influence the election … by orchestrating secret and illegal payments to silence two women who otherwise would have made public their alleged extramarital affairs with [Trump]. In the process, Cohen deceived the voting public by hiding alleged facts that he believed would have had a substantial effect on the election.”
3. For the second violation, the prosecutors believe that Russia reached out to the Trump organization as early as 2015. Specifically, “By that November, the Russians were reaching out about ‘political synergy,’” according to the sentencing memo for Cohen.
4. Mueller and The Justice Department seem confident in their reports, but moving forward and finding a definite ruling is complicated. These claims rely on information from Michael Cohen, who has previously admitted to lying to Congress.
5. Trump has taken to Twitter to respond to the investigation. On Saturday, he wrote, “AFTER TWO YEARS AND MILLIONS OF PAGES OF DOCUMENTS (and a cost of over $30,000,000), NO COLLUSION!”
Sources: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/key-takeaways-memos-michael-cohen-paul-manafort-muellers-investigation/ / https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2018/12/09/robert-mueller-donald-trump-campaign-russia-collusion-question-column/2237140002/ / https://www.npr.org/2018/12/08/675004122/what-to-make-of-the-latest-developments-in-the-mueller-investigation